Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.357324 5.851806 6.392170 7.030292 7.768197 8.600752 9.619878
2025-03-02 4.455116 5.098110 5.853059 6.818911 8.042983 9.573365 11.683723
2025-03-09 3.939974 4.645821 5.514637 6.689014 8.278993 10.428605 13.695394
2025-03-16 3.603496 4.347239 5.296757 6.637810 8.555485 11.329679 15.938292
2025-03-23 3.423088 4.216670 5.264642 6.807797 9.136157 12.745902 19.349255
2025-03-30 3.159088 3.945719 5.008322 6.618396 9.141317 13.255379 21.359768
2025-04-06 2.933566 3.705992 4.769186 6.419415 9.090701 13.645782 23.253888
2025-04-13 2.739571 3.494303 4.549836 6.222478 9.008286 13.953270 25.072140
2025-04-20 2.606368 3.358018 4.427061 6.159034 9.134409 14.657656 28.033729
2025-04-27 2.544233 3.317868 4.440811 6.310321 9.649298 16.216946 33.815236
2025-05-04 2.495474 3.292777 4.473386 6.492918 10.245606 18.091931 41.648652
2025-05-11 2.406551 3.202071 4.396950 6.481469 10.470135 19.207960 47.977137
2025-05-18 2.334433 3.139989 4.372705 6.580010 10.974442 21.249296 60.084713
2025-05-25 2.206815 2.987522 4.195590 6.393144 10.876428 21.802531 67.169219
2025-06-01 2.104547 2.868278 4.063941 6.275506 10.907318 22.722193 77.476096
2025-06-08 2.024831 2.779490 3.975819 6.228974 11.086223 24.133114 93.246127
2025-06-15 1.987607 2.755171 3.992988 6.383511 11.752203 27.310736 129.793202
2025-06-22 1.897757 2.641799 3.850687 6.211317 11.611137 27.820423 147.158125
2025-06-29 1.812996 2.532866 3.709918 6.030170 11.422256 28.116311 164.507172
2025-07-06 1.734331 2.430560 3.575287 5.850635 11.213137 28.285316 182.399837
2025-07-13 1.680050 2.365829 3.503046 5.792744 11.309043 29.672220 226.701491
2025-07-20 1.658972 2.354592 3.524444 5.930747 11.947460 33.604207 363.991158
2025-07-27 1.642676 2.350300 3.557666 6.097114 12.703382 38.654070 693.087444